Risk Terrain Modeling Works.
Evidence from the USA and around the world proves it. Click Here to learn more about RTM.
Evidence in Books
Evidence in Journal Publications
American Journal of Criminal Justice 2021, 2018 Applied Geography 2019, 2017 Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy 2020, 2020, 2019, 2019, 2015 Canadian Journal of Criminology and Criminal Justice 2018 Cityscape 2011, 2015 Child Abuse & Neglect 2016 Computers & Industrial Engineering 2015 Crime & Delinquency 2023, 2021, 2018, 2013 Crime Mapping 2013, 2013, 2012 Crime Science 2021, 2018 Criminal Justice Review 2021, 2021, 2020, 2020 Drug and Alcohol Dependence 2023 Engineering Proceedings 2023 European J on Criminal Policy and Research 2018, 2018, 2018, 2018, 2018, 2018, 2018, 2018, 2018 Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics 2018 Homicide Studies 2020 International Criminal Justice Review 2024 International J of Drug Policy 2020 International J of Comparative and Applied Criminal Justice 2021 J of Contemporary Criminal Justice 2020, 2017 J of Crime and Justice 2018, 2017 J of Criminal Justice 2023, 2018, 2018, 2018, 2018, 2017, 2017, 2016 J of Intelligence and Analysis 2019 J of Interpersonal Violence 2017 J of Place Management and Development 2020 J of Quantitative Criminology 2019, 2011 Justice Quarterly 2023, 2019, 2014, 2013, 2011 Korean Criminological Review 2015 Police Practice & Research 2024, 2021 Police Quarterly 2021 Policing and Society 2014 Policing: An International Journal of Police Sage Open 2023 Strategies & Management 2014 PLOS ONE 2020 Policing: A Journal of Policy and Practice 2022, 2018 Security Journal 2023 Social Science & Medicine 2020 Social Science Research 2018 Terrorism and Political Violence 2016 Urban Studies 2016 |
Evidence in Articles & Reports
The CEBCP 2015, 2015, 2015 The World Bank 2015 Oregon Knowledge Bank 2012 NIJ Journal 2016 NIJ Multi-Jurisdictional Experiment 2015 COPS Geography & Public Safety 2011 Evidence in Book Chapters Data-Informed Community Engagement [in The Globalization of Evidence-Based Policing (Eds. Piza and Welsh)] 2022 Special Issue: Forecasting Crime and Understanding its Causes. Applying Risk Terrain Modeling Worldwide. Read the intro article by Kennedy and Dugato
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Executive Summary
RTM forecasts are better than hot spot mapping. RTM outperforms methods used by ‘predictive policing’ apps. Policing with RTM lowers crime; Many cities saw reductions over 30%. Risk maps are simple to understand and easy to share. RTM shows where to go and helps to answer why to be there, so actions are objective, transparent and evidence-based. RTM is place-based, not person focused. It’s less susceptible to bias and it promotes positive engagements with communities.
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Accurate Forecasts. |